An Energy
Descent Action Plan (EDAP) is a process for preparing a
regional response to climate change and peak oil. It goes beyond issues
of energy supply to look at across-the-board creative adaptations in the
realms of health, education, economy and the entire range of
infrastructure that supports our existence. Energy descent action
planning is a process developed by the Rob Hopkins, founder of the
Transition movement. It is a method for communities to collectively
confront the challenges related to weaning our society off fossil fuels.
Considering the serious threats created by peak oil and climate change,
the EDAP process begs thorough examination. This paper will examine the
basic assumptions behind the EDAP, its basic principles, its history
and development, and its present use. Finally I will compare the EDEP to
other plans for energy security and climate adaptation / mitigation.
The Energy Descent Action Plan is based on onekey assumption: we must dramatically lower our energy use. This
controversial idea is based on the following three basic considerations:
1) Climate change means that we need to use significantly
less fossil fuels in order to lower carbon dioxide emissions. The
climate will change by one or two degrees now due to greenhouse gasses
already released in the atmosphere, but if we are serious about avoiding
tipping points in the climate system - dramatically less fossil fuel
use is an imperative.
2) Even if climate change were not a problem, a more
fundamental problem in the short term is the fact that we are quickly
approaching a peak in global fuel reserves. It is anticipated that peak
oil will happen around 2012.1 The International Energy Agency released
the 2008 World Energy Outlook which reported that between 2007 and 2008
its own figures for projected rate of decline in world energy supply had
almost doubled from 3.7% a year (2007)2 to a 6.7% a year (2008).3 In
2008 several major companies including Arup, Yahoo and Virgin created
the UK Industry Taskforce on Peak Oil and Energy Security (ITPOES)
released a report which calls ‘on the UK government, and other companies
operating in the UK market, to join us in an effort to appraise the
risk from premature peak oil, and plan proactive and reactive strategies
- local and national - for facing up to the problem.’4 After peak
oil, fossil fuels will become significantly more expensive and energy
shocks will occur as supplies are no longer able to cope with demand.
3) There is not yet any alternative energy source that can
provide energy as cheaply and in such abundance as fossil fuels have in
the past. ‘Net energy’ is also known as ‘energy return on energy
invested’ and refers to amount of energy obtained in comparison to the
energy required to get it.5 Despite advances in technology there is no
quick fix, no other energy source primed to take the place of fossil
fuels. Even controversial technologies such as nuclear power will not
provide enough energy to maintain current growing demand.6
Once these key assumptions are accepted, we must then accept
that life with dramatically lower energy consumption is inevitable.
Accepting the three premises above challenges many of our basis
assumptions. Whether or not we are prepared to confront these
challenging ideas the impact of climate change and peak oil threatens to
be severe.
Within the context of peak oil and climate change, the Energy
Descent Action Plan becomes an obvious step towards preparing for the
future. The EDAP examines a local situation in regards to a community’s
dependence on fossil fuels and vulnerabilities in local infrastructure
to energy shocks. The EDAP process explores the current situation,
visualizes the ideal situation, and then attempts to map how we can move
from one to the other. The ideal situation would be a smooth transition
to a future where we have learned to live within the carrying capacity
of ecological systems, i.e. learned to thrive in a low impact system.
The transition movement suggests that a low energy future could actually
provide a better quality of life than we have now; if we start a
planning process soon enough and build resilience to change into local
communities. The more wide spread the community support, the better
chance we have of success, as the saying goes: 'if we fail to plan, we
plan to fail'. In order to understand the Energy Descent Action Plan, we
can deconstruct the name itself:
Energy
World energy use is presently at all time high and there is
strong evidence to suggest that we will be unable to sustain high energy
use as we are quickly approaching a peak in global energy reserves.
Descent
Energy descent was coined by ecologist Howard and Elizabeth
Odum in The Prosperous Way Down (2001).7 It is the post-peak
oil phase, when humankind goes from the ascending use of energy that has
occurred since the industrial revolution to a descending use of energy.
Action
Without action all the best intentions and all the strongest
rhetoric remains meaningless. Starting the work of transition means
breaking free of the illusion that we are all powerless within systems
over which we have little control. While it might be true that
individuals are relatively powerless, collectively we have the capacity
to bring about change.
Plan
Without a plan we will more than likely end up somewhere we
do not want to be. Today, we are at a critical junction in history. We
can now make plans to reduce carbon emissions and engineer our way out
of our dependence on fossil fuels - or we can be subject to the
repercussions of not taking geo-physical realities into account.
(from eco-labs.org)